Browsing by Author "Ladines, Juan Carlos"
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Item Dynamic capabilities under political uncertainty: analyzing the application of the Oxford Scenario Planning Approach (OSPA) in the mining sector of an emerging economy(Universidad del Pacífico. Facultad de Ciencias Empresariales, 2026-01) Pyper, Neil; Castillo, William; Peinado Bravo, María Estrella; Ladines, Juan CarlosEmerging economies have a key aspect in common: their inherent political uncertainty. Therefore, it is critical to understand how firms that operate in this type of economies understand their present environment, if they are to foresee future developments. The scenario planning approach can be used to develop dynamic capabilities to cope with political uncertainty. The purpose of this study is to validate the Oxford Scenario Planning Approach (OSPA) from an emerging economy perspective. To do so, in-depth interviews with members of key business leadership associations (local and foreign) were carried out to discover underlying perceptions that provide insights into future situations. Using ten in-depth interviews with opinion leaders and senior mining executives in Peru, the study shows that corporate planning in this emerging economy is still dominated by short-term, quantitative “forecast-centered” routines that leave firms reactive to shocks and vulnerable to a high-uncertainty trap. Participants recognized that the OSPA could help them to identify and rehearse intangible threats—especially political risk and social conflict—while nurturing three dynamic capabilities: deeper multidimensional risk analysis, faster adaptability, and sharper environmental scanning.Item Promoción de inversiones al exterior(Universidad del Pacífico. Centro de Investigación, 2023-06) Ladines, Juan Carlos; Peinado Bravo, María EstrellaLa atracción de inversión extranjera directa (IED) se ha mantenido como una prioridad para las economías emergentes y en especial la peruana. Estas mantienen indicadores de desempleo altos, mercados poco desarrollados y oportunidades en sectores donde el gobierno no provee servicios competitivos. Así las políticas gubernamentales destinadas a la reducción de los costos de comercio e inversión están orientadas a corregir las fallas de mercado y fomentar a nivel país el crecimiento y bienestar económico en los diferentes sectores. El objetivo debe ser el estimular la inversión empresarial y mejorar el involucramiento de las empresas peruanas con los mercados internacionales.